Moderate Risk Upgrade

Posted on: 6:55 am, February 20, 2014, by

The Storm Prediction Center upgraded a portion of the SLIGHT RISK to a MODERATE RISK at 6:30 AM. That does not really change the forecast, but it does change the tenor of social media dramatically. This is an expected move by SPC due to the higher-end damaging wind threat with this line in Mississippi, West and Middle Tennessee, and Northwest Alabama:

This is the suite of products from SPC; the MODERATE is an area of enhanced thunderstorm risk. The SLIGHT is still enough of an issue to be on alert tonight:

Photo Gallery Expand 1 of 4
  • Categorical Outlook - not a watch or warning. This is just the "heads up"

  • Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point

  • Probability of severe wind (>58 MPH) within 25 miles of a point

  • Probability of severe hail (>1") within 25 miles of a point

Advance these graphics to see what our Futurecast forecast radar looks like this evening. The storms will not make it into the Valley before 6 PM; this is all happening after 6:00 tonight and should be over by 1 AM.

Photo Gallery Expand 1 of 4
  • Storm Timing

  • Futurecast forecast radar image at 7 PM

  • Futurecast forecast radar image at 9 PM

  • Futurecast forecast radar image at midnight

We’ll be here monitoring things for you all day and night. We will also have a live blog running during the event so you can keep up with everything that goes on here on Valleywx.com.

If a Tornado Warning is issued later on, we’ll interrupt programming on WHNT News 19 to cover it from start to finish. Here are some resources for when we’re not on wall-to-wall:

WHNT.com’s Maps & Radar Page
Mobile Applications
Baron Saf-T-Net

-Jason
Connect with me!
Google+: Jason Simpson
Facebook: Jason Simpson’s Fan Page
Twitter: @simpsonwhnt

Submit Your Photo