Rain & storms develop Friday afternoon, evening– Check WHNT’s Interactive Radar

Old Man Winter Still Breathing Threats in the Guidance

You may not be ready to hear this, but Winter is not over…by a long shot. There are still whispers and “breaths of threats” from more cold and more snow in the computer guidance. Before you continue reading, understand you are not reading a long-range “forecast.” This is a look behind the curtain at the data we have in hand that helps guide where our forecast goes.

It’s true that we do have a break from the cold weather coming this weekend; it’ll get up around 60ºF on Saturday afternoon, then another cold front comes in with rain Saturday night and Sunday leaving us with a chilly north breeze on Sunday evening. Another significant front swings in on Tuesday, and there is potential for some strong and/or severe storms with that system.

Guess what happens behind that system…

Forecast temperature anomaly plot for North America - Feb. 6 to Feb. 13

Forecast temperature anomaly plot for North America – Feb. 6 to Feb. 13

Yep. Another prolonged period of cold weather. How cold will it get? It’s too soon to say.

Will it snow again? I don’t know, but it’s a possibility if you believe the guidance. Last night’s European model went bonkers with a huge snow for the Tennessee Valley. Before you look at it, understand that it’s only a model. I really don’t have any confidence that this is a real possibility; what it does show us is that while the over-all weather pattern is changing, it may not be improving much.

Don’t go tell everybody that Jason said it’s going to snow a foot. If you do, I’ll send my snoring bulldog to your house for a week.

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