Halloween Forecast Update

Posted on: 9:47 am, October 29, 2013, by , updated on: 12:23pm, October 29, 2013

Tuesday Morning Update: This is subject to change as Halloween approaches. This is how it looks right now. Check back for further updates.

We are getting closer to Halloween and the computer models are coming together on the timing of rain and storms across the Tennessee Valley Thursday evening. Here is the bottom line. Showers and storms are likely Thursday evening. We are hopefully that most of the activity will hold off until after 7pm for most of the Tennessee Valley.

West of I-65 including Muscle Shoals, Florence, Tuscumbia, & Rogersville: Rain is possible during the late afternoon lasting into the evening. Rain is likely during the prime trick-o-treating hours. Unfortunately, your chances for a dry forecast is lower than anyone else in the area.

Along I-65 including Huntsville, Decatur, and Fayetteville: Only isolated showers are possible during the afternoon with rain chances increasing through 7pm. Locally heavy downpours are possible. Trick-o-treating a little earlier is something to consider.

Sand Mountain/Lookout Mountain/I-59 in including Albertville, Fort Payne, and Scottsboro: A very slim risk of shower during the afternoon with isolated showers during trick-o-treating time. Most of the rain should hold off until after the kids are done.

Temperatures: everyone should hold in the lower to middle 70s with a few upper 60s further west. A jacket is optional over your costume Thursday evening. Here is a look the computer models. As you can see, the GFS and European are very similar.


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  • Halloween 1pm

  • Halloween 7pm

Here is a look at the European Model:

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  • Halloween 7pm

  • Halloween 1pm

Both models are together in bringing rain into the Shoals during the early afternoon then spreading eastward after that. Northeast Alabama gets wet later in the evening. Heavy rain is possible along with strong, gusty winds. Severe threat at this time is on the low side. The Storm Prediction Center has a small piece of the Tennessee Valley under a *slight risk* of severe weather for Thursday evening. Stay tuned!



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