Severe Storms Possible Thursday

Posted on: 8:27 am, June 12, 2013, by

Heat has been the big story as of late, but we need to keep in mind strong to severe storms are possible Thursday. The large ridge of high pressure bringing high heat and humidity retreats west allowing a cold front and upper trough to dip south across the Tennessee Valley Thursday. Here is a close up look at the *slight risk* of severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma.

 

SPC_Close

 

Here is the bigger outlook valid for Thursday. Notice the middle Atlantic is under a *moderate risk* for the second time this week. Recall there was a confirmed tornado in the Baltimore, Maryland, area earlier this week. That region is under the gun again for the potential for isolated tornadoes.

 

SPC

 

Here is the European Model valid for Thursday evening. This is for precipitation ending at 7pm Thursday. This model keeps most of the rainfall north and east of the Tennessee Valley. It’s important to note, other models bring more precipitation further south. Any storms that form could be severe with damaging winds and hail. We’re hopeful that the tornado threat stays away from us. As we know, it can’t be completely ruled out. As for now, the best dynamics for that are to our north.

 

euro1

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Jack’s